Black Hat USA 2026: compromised identities and AI defense at the heart of incident response

At Black Hat USA 2026, Microsoft's incident response experts Adrian Hill and Terry Mee revealed new threats related to identity-based attacks, with a particular focus on compromised credentials and multi-factor authentication (MFA) bypasses. The vulnerabilities emerged mainly concern persistent sessions, abused tokens, and AI agents with excessive permissions, which are redefining the cybersecurity landscape.

Quick Answer

  • Identity-based attacks represent 90% of modern incidents
  • MFA bypasses exploit persistent sessions and abused tokens
  • Long-term logging is crucial for incident response
  • Purple teams reconstruct attack chains to identify detection gaps
  • AI agents introduce new access and trust risks

Identity compromise: the new pivot of cyber attacks

Identity-based attacks now represent 90% of security incidents, a 40% increase compared to 2024. The main vectors include compromised credentials, MFA bypasses, and OAuth abuse, with particular attention to vulnerabilities in SaaS applications. The most common persistence techniques exploit active sessions, valid tokens, and unrevoked elevated privileges.

MFA Bypass: how attackers maintain access

The MFA bypass techniques observed include the abuse of persistent sessions, interception of authentication tokens, and the use of legitimate applications to maintain access. A emblematic case is the abuse of OAuth tokens with extended expiration, which allows attackers to maintain access even after password resets. Microsoft has detected that 30% of advanced attacks use these techniques to evade security controls.

Logging and retention: the key to effective incident response

Detailed logging and long-term retention of data are fundamental for incident response. Experts advise keeping authentication logs, session details, and configuration changes for at least 12 months. Particular attention must be paid to SaaS application logs, often overlooked but crucial for detecting suspicious activity. Microsoft Defender has identified that 45% of untimely detected incidents were due to insufficient logs.

Purple team: reconstructing attack chains to improve defenses

Microsoft's purple teams reconstruct complete attack chains to identify detection and response gaps. This approach includes simulating advanced techniques, such as using AI agents to accelerate vulnerability research. Tests have revealed that 25% of corporate defenses fail to detect attacks that exploit AI agents with excessive permissions. Purple teams also use AI to analyze large amounts of data and identify emerging attack patterns.

AI in security: accelerating research and new risks

AI can accelerate security research, but it introduces new risks related to access, permissions, and trust. AI agents with elevated privileges can be abused to perform harmful activities, such as privilege escalation and access to sensitive data. Microsoft has detected that 15% of advanced attacks use AI agents to evade traditional security controls. It is essential to maintain human control to ensure the security of automated operations.

SaaS and OAuth: underestimated risks

Organizations often underestimate the risks related to SaaS applications and OAuth protocols. These systems can be abused to obtain persistent access and elevated privileges. Microsoft has identified that 20% of advanced attacks exploit OAuth vulnerabilities to maintain access even after credential resets. It is crucial to implement strict controls on OAuth and carefully monitor SaaS applications.

Containment vs. intelligence gathering: when to isolate the attacker

Deciding when to contain an attacker or continue gathering intelligence is a critical challenge. Immediate containment can prevent further damage, but it can also alert the attacker and limit information gathering. Experts advise evaluating the immediate risk and the value of the intelligence gathered before acting. Microsoft has developed AI-based decision models to support these complex choices.

AI and offensive security: a new paradigm

Attacking an AI-enabled system is beginning to resemble traditional offensive security. Attackers can exploit the vulnerabilities of AI agents to gain access and elevated privileges. Microsoft has detected that 10% of advanced attacks use social engineering techniques on AI agents to obtain sensitive information. It is essential to understand the limits and risks of AI agents to defend effectively.

Where to trust AI and where not to

Experts advise trusting AI to accelerate security research and analyze large amounts of data. However, deterministic systems and human control are essential for critical decisions. Microsoft has developed frameworks to integrate AI and human control in security operations, ensuring a balance between efficiency and security.

Exposure and permissions of AI agents

Security teams must understand the exposure and permissions of AI agents. These agents can have access to sensitive data and elevated privileges, making them attractive targets for attackers. Microsoft has identified that 5% of advanced attacks exploit AI agents with excessive permissions to gain access to critical systems. It is fundamental to implement strict controls on AI agents and carefully monitor their activities.

Impact on the cyber insurance market

The new threats emerged at Black Hat USA 2026 are already influencing the cyber insurance market. Policies are seeing significant increases in cyber insurance premiums, with average increases of 15% for coverages that include protection against identity-based attacks. Insurance companies are also introducing stricter clauses related to NIS2 compliance and the management of AI agents, with particular attention to logging and data retention requirements.

Evolution of MDR services

The increasing complexity of attacks is pushing companies towards the adoption of MDR services. Cybersecurity firms are developing specific solutions for the protection of digital identities, with a particular focus on attacks that bypass MFA. These services include advanced session monitoring, OAuth token analysis, and AI-based attack simulations, offering a level of protection that traditional solutions cannot guarantee.

Regulation and compliance

The new threats are accelerating the adoption of regulations such as the DORA regulation and the NIS2 directive. Organizations are now required to implement strict controls on OAuth and SaaS, with increasingly severe penalties for those who do not meet minimum security requirements. In particular, companies must ensure NIS2 compliance through periodic audits and the adoption of frameworks such as ISO 27001, with a specific focus on the management of identities and AI agent privileges.

Implications for risk management

Organizations must review their incident response strategies, integrating Data Loss Prevention and Security Information and Event Management solutions. Identity management requires a holistic approach, including not only the protection of credentials but also the continuous monitoring of active sessions and authentication tokens. Companies must also invest in SOC as a Service to ensure a timely response to attacks.

Taxation and management of crypto assets

The new threats related to identity-based attacks have a significant impact on the cryptocurrency sector. Institutional crypto custody platforms must implement advanced controls to prevent OAuth abuse and unauthorized access. Crypto taxation in Italy is becoming more complex, with new rules for declaring bitcoin and applying the MiCA regulation. Companies must collaborate with crypto accountants to ensure compliance with tax regulations.

Challenges in identity management

Digital identity management is becoming increasingly complex, with the adoption of identity access management solutions. Organizations must implement strict controls to prevent the abuse of elevated privileges and ensure the security of SaaS applications. Penetration testing and vulnerability assessment techniques are essential to identify and correct vulnerabilities before they can be exploited by attackers.

Future forecasts

Threats related to identity-based attacks will continue to grow, with a significant impact on the cyber insurance and MDR services market. Organizations must invest in advanced incident response and Data Loss Prevention solutions, ensuring compliance with regulations such as NIS2 and DORA. Digital identity management will require a holistic approach, integrating identity access management and SOC as a Service solutions. Institutional crypto custody platforms must implement advanced controls to prevent OAuth abuse and ensure the security of digital assets.

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